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Old 08-18-2007, 01:39 PM   #1
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Default Caribbean and Pacific Hurricane Season 2007


All hurricane/typhoon warnings and forecasts will be posted on this thread. It is being kept seperate from the other severe weather warnings in order that everyone is kept aware and so they do not get lost amongst other posts. All information is supplied by NOAA/NHC. The season officially starts from June but as with most things, Mother Nature doesn't always run to a schedule.

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Old 08-18-2007, 01:41 PM   #2
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Default Hurricane Dean

000
Wtnt34 Knhc 181745
Tcpat4
Bulletin
Hurricane Dean Intermediate Advisory Number 22a
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al042007
200 Pm Ast Sat Aug 18 2007

...dean Remains An Extremely Dangerous Hurricane...heavy Squalls
Spreading Over Hispaniola...

A Hurricane Warning Remains In Effect For The South Coast Of The
Dominican Republic From Barahona Westward To The Haiti-dominican
Republic Border...and For The Southwestern Peninsula Of Haiti From
The Haiti-dominican Republic Border To Port-au-prince. A Hurricane
Warning Also Remains In Effect For Jamaica. A Hurricane Warning
Means That Hurricane Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning
Area Within The Next 24 Hours. Preparations To Protect Life And
Property Should Be Rushed To Completion.

At 2 Pm Ast...1800 Utc...the Government Of Cuba Has Issued A
Tropical Storm Warning For Portions Of Cuba...from The Province Of
Camaguey Eastward To The Province Of Guantanamo. A Tropical Storm
Warning Remains In Effect Along The South Coast Of The Dominican
Republic From Cabo Engano Westward To Barahona...and For Coast Of
Haiti North Of Port-au-prince To The Northern Haiti-dominican
Republic Border. A Tropical Storm Warning Means That Tropical
Storm Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning Area Within The
Next 24 Hours.

A Hurricane Watch Is In Effect For The Cayman Islands. A Hurricane
Watch Means That Hurricane Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch
Area...generally Within 36 Hours.

Interests Elsewhere In The Western Caribbean...including Western
Cuba...and The Yucatan Peninsula Should Closely Monitor The
Progress Of Dean.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...please Monitor
Products Issued By Your Local Weather Office.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.

At 200 Pm Ast...1800z...the Eye Of Hurricane Dean Was Located
Near Latitude 15.9 North...longitude 69.4 West Or About 505 Miles...
815 Km...east-southeast Of Kingston Jamaica And About 175 Miles...
285 Km...south Of Santo Domingo In The Dominican Republic.

Dean Is Moving Toward The West-northwest Near 17 Mph...28 Km/hr. A
General Track Between The West And West-northwest Is Forecast During
The Next 24 Hours. On This Track...the Core Of The Hurricane Will
Be Moving South Of Hispaniola Today And Early Sunday.

Maximum Sustained Winds Remain Near 150 Mph...240 Km/hr...with
Higher Gusts. Dean Is An Extremely Dangerous Category Four
Hurricane On The Saffir-simpson Hurricane Scale. Some Fluctuations
In Intensity Are Expected During The Next 24 Hours.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 60 Miles...95 Km...from
The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 205
Miles...335 Km.

Latest Minimum Central Pressure Reported By An Air Force Hurricane
Hunter Plane Was 930 Mb...27.46 Inches.

Storm Total Rainfall Amounts Of 5 To 10 Inches Can Be Expected Over
Jamaica...with Maximum Amounts Of Up To 20 Inches. Amounts Of 2 To
3 Inches Can Be Expected Over The Dominican Republic And Haiti With
Amounts Up To 6 Inches Possible. Additional Rain Accumulations Of 1
To 2 Inches Are Possible Over Puerto Rico...with Isolated Storm
Total Amounts Of 5 Inches. These Rains Could Cause Life-
Threatening Flash Floods And Mudslides.

Repeating The 200 Pm Ast Position...15.9 N...69.4 W. Movement
Toward...west-northwest Near 17 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...150
Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...930 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
500 Pm Ast.

$$
Forecaster Avila
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Old 08-19-2007, 03:49 AM   #3
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Default

000
Wtnt34 Knhc 190550
Tcpat4
Bulletin
Hurricane Dean Intermediate Advisory Number 24a
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al042007
200 Am Ast Sun Aug 19 2007

...dean Heading Toward Jamaica...

A Hurricane Warning Remains In Effect For The Southwestern Peninsula
Of Haiti From The Haiti-dominican Republic Border To
Port-au-prince. A Hurricane Warning Is Also In Effect For Jamaica
And The Cayman Islands.

A Hurricane Warning Means That Hurricane Conditions Are Expected
Within The Warning Area Within The Next 24 Hours. Preparations To
Protect Life And Property Should Be Rushed To Completion.

At 2 Am Ast...0600 Utc...the Government Of The Dominican Republic
Has Changed The Hurricane Warning To A Tropical Storm Warning From
Barahona To The Southern Haiti-dominican Republic Border...and Has
Discontinued The Tropical Storm Warning From East Of Cabo Caucedo
To Cabo Engano. A Tropical Storm Warning Is In Effect From Cabo
Caucedo Westward To The Southern Haiti-dominican Republic Border.

A Tropical Storm Warning Is In Effect For Coast Of Haiti North Of
Port-au-prince To The Northern Haiti-dominican Republic Border. A
Tropical Storm Warning Is Also In Effect For Portions Of Eastern
Cuba...from The Province Of Camaguey Eastward To The Province Of
Guantanamo. A Tropical Storm Warning Means That Tropical Storm
Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning Area Within The Next 24
Hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch Is In Effect For Portions Of Central
Cuba...for The Provinces Of Ciego De Avila...sancti Spiritus...
Cienfuegos...matanzas...and Isla De La Juventud. A Tropical Storm
Watch Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are Possible Within The
Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours.

Interests Elsewhere In The Western Caribbean...including Western
Cuba And The Yucatan Peninsula...should Closely Monitor The
Progress Of Dean.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...please Monitor
Products Issued By Your Local Weather Office.

At 200 Am Ast...0600z...the Eye Of Hurricane Dean Was Located
Near Latitude 16.4 North...longitude 72.6 West Or About 295 Miles...
480 Km...east-southeast Of Kingston Jamaica And About 155 Miles...
245 Km...south Of Port Au Prince Haiti.

Dean Is Moving Toward The West-northwest Near 17 Mph...28
Km/hr...and A West-northwestward Or Westward Motion Is Expected
During The Next 24 Hours. On This Track...the Core Of The
Hurricane Will Pass Just South Of The Southern Coast Of Haiti Over
The Next Several Hours And Will Be Near Jamaica Later Today.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 145 Mph...230 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Dean Is An Extremely Dangerous Category Four Hurricane On
The Saffir-simpson Hurricane Scale. Some Fluctuations In Intensity
Are Possible During The Next 24 Hours.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 60 Miles...95 Km...from
The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 205
Miles...335 Km.

An Air Force Hurricane Hunter Plane Recently Measured A Minimum
Central Pressure Of 921 Mb...27.20 Inches.

Coastal Storm Surge Flooding Of 7 To 9 Feet Above Normal Tide
Levels...along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves...is
Possible Near The Center Of Dean Within The Hurricane Warning Area.

Storm Total Rainfall Amounts Of 5 To 10 Inches Can Be Expected Over
Jamaica...with Maximum Amounts Of Up To 20 Inches. Amounts
Of 4 To 6 Inches Are Possible Over Southern Hispaniola With Maximum
Totals Of 10 Inches. The Remainder Of Hispaniola And Eastern Cuba
Could Receive 2 To 4 Inches Of Rain...with Maximum Amounts Up To 7
Inches. These Rains Could Cause Life-threatening Flash Floods And
Mudslides.

Repeating The 200 Am Ast Position...16.4 N...72.6 W. Movement
Toward...west-northwest Near 17 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...145
Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...921 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
500 Am Ast.

$$
Forecaster Pasch/brown
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Old 08-19-2007, 05:12 AM   #4
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Default Hurricane Dean

000
Wtnt34 Knhc 190844
Tcpat4
Bulletin
Hurricane Dean Advisory Number 25
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al042007
500 Am Edt Sun Aug 19 2007

...dean Continues Heading For Jamaica...

A Hurricane Warning Remains In Effect For The Southwestern Peninsula
Of Haiti From West Of The Haiti-dominican Border To Port-au-prince.
A Hurricane Warning Is Also In Effect For Jamaica And The Cayman
Islands. A Hurricane Warning Means That Hurricane Conditions Are
Expected Within The Warning Area Within The Next 24 Hours.
Preparations To Protect Life And Property Should Be Rushed To
Completion.

At 5 Am Edt....0900 Utc...the Government Of The Dominican Republic
Has Discontinued The Tropical Storm Warning For The Dominican
Republic.

A Tropical Storm Warning Is In Effect For The Coast Of Haiti North
Of Port-au-prince To The Northern Haiti-dominican Republic Border.
A Tropical Storm Warning Is Also Effect For Portions Of Eastern
Cuba...from The Province Of Camaguey Eastward To The Province Of
Guantanamo. A Tropical Storm Warning Means That Tropical Storm
Conditions Are Expected Within The Warning Area Within The Next 24
Hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch Is In Effect For Portions Of Central
Cuba...for The Provinces Of Ciego De Avila...sancti Spiritus...
Cienfuegos... Matanzas...and Isla De La Juventud. A Tropical Storm
Watch Means That Tropical Storm Conditions Are Possible Within The
Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours.

Interests Elsewhere In The Western Caribbean...including
Western Cuba And The Yucatan Peninsula...should Closely Monitor The
Progress Of Dean.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...please Monitor
Products Issued By Your Local Weather Office.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.

At 500 Am Edt...0900z...the Center Of Hurricane Dean Was Located
Near Latitude 16.6 North...longitude 73.4 West Or About 245 Miles...
395 Km...east-southeast Of Kingston Jamaica And About 155 Miles...
250 Km...south-southwest Of Port Au Prince Haiti.

Dean Is Moving Toward The West-northwest Near 18 Mph...30 Km/hr...
And This General Motion Is Expected To Continue For The Next 24
Hours. On This Track The Core Of The Hurricane Will Pass Just
South Of The Southwestern Peninsula Of Haiti During The Next Few
Hours And Will Be Near Jamaica Later Today.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 145 Mph...230 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Dean Is A Category Four Hurricane On The Saffir-simpson
Scale. Some Fluctuations In Intensity Are Possible During The Next
24 Hours.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 60 Miles...95 Km...from
The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 205
Miles...335 Km.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 921 Mb...27.20 Inches.

Coastal Storm Surge Flooding Of 7 To 9 Feet Above Normal Tide
Levels...along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves...is
Possible Near The Center Of Dean Within The Hurricane Warning Area.

Storm Total Rainfall Amounts Of 5 To 10 Inches Can Be Expected Over
Jamaica...with Maximum Amounts Of Up To 20 Inches. Amounts Of 4 To
8 Inches With Maximum Amounts Of 12 Inches Are Expected Over The
Cayman Islands. Amounts Of 4 To 6 Inches Are Possible Over
Southern Hispaniola With Maximum Totals Of 10 Inches. The
Remainder Of Hispaniola And Eastern Cuba Could Receive 2 To 4
Inches Of Rain...with Maximum Amounts Up To 7 Inches. These Rains
Could Cause Life-threatening Flash Floods And Mudslides.

Repeating The 500 Am Edt Position...16.6 N...73.4 W. Movement
Toward...west-northwest Near 18 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...145
Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...921 Mb.

An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 800 Am Edt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 1100
Am Edt.

$$
Forecaster Pasch/brown
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Old 08-19-2007, 11:33 AM   #5
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Default

000
Wtnt34 Knhc 191443
Tcpat4
Bulletin
Hurricane Dean Advisory Number 26
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al042007
1100 Am Edt Sun Aug 19 2007

...outer Bands Of Dean Moving Over Jamaica...

At 11 Am Edt...1500 Utc...the Government Of Mexico Has Issued A
Hurricane Watch From Chetumal To San Felipe On The Yucatan
Peninsula. A Hurricane Watch Means That Hurricane Conditions Are
Possible Within The Watch Area...generally Within 36 Hours.

At 11 Am Edt...the Government Of Cuba Has Issued A Tropical Storm
Watch For The Provinces Of Pinar Del Rio And La Habana. A Tropical
Storm Watch Is Now In Effect For The Following Provinces...pinar
Del Rio...la Habana... Ciego De Avila...sancti Spiritus...
Cienfuegos... Matanzas...and Isla De La Juventud.

A Hurricane Warning Remains In Effect For The Southwestern Peninsula
Of Haiti From West Of The Haiti-dominican Border To Port-au-prince.
A Hurricane Warning Is Also In Effect For Jamaica And The Cayman
Islands. Preparations To Protect Life And Property Should Be Rushed
To Completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning Is In Effect For The Coast Of Haiti North
Of Port-au-prince To The Northern Haiti-dominican Republic Border.
A Tropical Storm Warning Is Also In Effect For Portions Of Eastern
Cuba...from The Province Of Camaguey Eastward To The Province Of
Guantanamo.

Interests Elsewhere In The Western Caribbean And Southern Gulf Of
Mexico Should Closely Monitor The Progress Of Dean.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...please Monitor
Products Issued By Your Local Weather Office.

At 1100 Am Edt...1500z...the Center Of Hurricane Dean Was Located
Near Latitude 17.0 North...longitude 75.1 West Or About 130 Miles...
210 Km...east-southeast Of Kingston Jamaica And About 215 Miles...
345 Km...west-southwest Of Port Au Prince Haiti.

Dean Is Moving West Near 18 Mph...30 Km/hr. A Motion Between West
And West-northwest Is Expected Over The Next 24 Hours. On The
Forecast Track...the Center Of Dean Will Be Very Near The Island Of
Jamaica By Early This Afternoon.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 145 Mph...230 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Dean Is A Category Four Hurricane On The Saffir-simpson
Scale. Fluctuations In Intensity Are Common In Major Hurricanes And
Are Possible During The Next 24 Hours.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 60 Miles...95 Km...from
The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 205
Miles...335 Km.

The Latest Minimum Central Pressure Reported By An Air Force Reserve
Unit Reconnaissance Aircraft Was 926 Mb...27.34 Inches.

Coastal Storm Surge Flooding Of 7 To 9 Feet Above Normal Tide
Levels...along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves...is
Possible Near The Center Of Dean Within The Hurricane Warning Area.

Storm Total Rainfall Amounts Of 5 To 10 Inches Can Be Expected Over
Jamaica...with Maximum Amounts Of Up To 20 Inches. Amounts Of 4 To
8 Inches With Maximum Amounts Of 12 Inches Are Expected Over The
Cayman Islands. Additional Amounts Of 2 To 4 Inches Are Possible
Over Southern Hispaniola With Maximum Storm Totals Of 10 Inches.
Eastern Cuba Could Receive 2 To 4 Inches Of Rain...with Maximum
Amounts Up To 7 Inches. These Rains Could Cause Life-threatening
Flash Floods And Mudslides.

Repeating The 1100 Am Edt Position...17.0 N...75.1 W. Movement
Toward...west Near 18 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...145 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...926 Mb.

An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 200 Pm Edt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 500
Pm Edt.

$$
Forecaster Franklin/rhome
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Old 08-19-2007, 03:56 PM   #6
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Default Hurricane Dean

00
Wtnt34 Knhc 192044
Tcpat4
Bulletin
Hurricane Dean Advisory Number 27
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al042007
500 Pm Edt Sun Aug 19 2007

...extremely Dangerous Dean Scraping The Southern Coast Of
Jamaica...

At 5 Pm Edt...2100 Utc...the Government Of Belize Has Issued A
Tropical Storm Watch From Dangriega Northward To The Border With
Mexico.

At 5 Pm Edt...the Hurricane Warning For The Southwestern
Peninsula Of Haiti From Port-au-prince To The Haiti/dominican
Republic Border Is Replaced With A Tropical Storm Warning.

At 5 Pm Edt...the Tropical Storm Warning From Port-au-prince
Northward Is Discontinued.

A Hurricane Warning Remains In Effect For Jamaica And The Cayman
Islands. Preparations To Protect Life And Property In Jamaica
Should Have Already Been Completed. Preparations In The Cayman
Islands Should Be Rushed To Completion.

A Hurricane Watch Remains In Effect From Chetumal To San Felipe On
The Yucatan Peninsula Of Mexico. Hurricane Conditions Could Also
Spread Across Northern Belize...and Tropical Storm Conditions Are
Possible Elsewhere In Belize.

A Tropical Storm Warning Is Also In Effect For Portions Of Eastern
Cuba...from The Province Of Camaguey Eastward To The Province Of
Guantanamo.

A Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect For The Following Provinces
Of Cuba...pinar Del Rio...la Habana... Ciego De Avila...sancti
Spiritus... Cienfuegos... Matanzas...and Isla De La Juventud.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...please Monitor
Products Issued By Your Local Weather Office.

At 500 Pm Edt...2100z...the Center Of Hurricane Dean Was Located
Near Latitude 17.3 North...longitude 76.8 West Or About 50 Miles...
80 Km...south Of Kingston Jamaica And About 320 Miles...515 Km...
East-southeast Of Grand Cayman.

Dean Is Moving Toward The West Near 20 Mph...32 Km/hr. A Motion
Between West And West-northwest Is Expected Over The Next 24 Hours.
On The Forecast Track...the Center Of Dean Will Be Passing Along Or
Just South Of The Southern Coast Of Jamaica Over The Next Several
Hours.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 145 Mph...230 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Dean Is A Category Four Hurricane On The Saffir-simpson
Scale. Fluctuations In Intensity Are Common In Major Hurricanes And
Are Possible During The Next 24 Hours. Dean Has The Potential To
Become A Category Five Hurricane In The Northwestern Caribbean Sea
Tomorrow.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 60 Miles...95 Km...from
The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 205
Miles...335 Km.

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 930 Mb...27.46 Inches.

Coastal Storm Surge Flooding Of 7 To 9 Feet Above Normal Tide
Levels...along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves...is
Possible Near The Center Of Dean Within The Hurricane Warning Area.

Storm Total Rainfall Amounts Of 5 To 10 Inches Can Be Expected Over
Jamaica...with Maximum Amounts Of Up To 20 Inches. Amounts Of 4 To
8 Inches With Maximum Amounts Of 12 Inches Are Expected Over The
Cayman Islands. Additional Amounts Of 2 To 4 Inches Are Possible
Over Southern Hispaniola With Maximum Storm Totals Of 10 Inches.
Eastern Cuba Could Receive 2 To 4 Inches Of Rain...with Maximum
Amounts Up To 7 Inches. These Rains Could Cause Life-threatening
Flash Floods And Mudslides.

Repeating The 500 Pm Edt Position...17.3 N...76.8 W. Movement
Toward...west Near 20 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...145 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...930 Mb.

An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 800 Pm Edt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 1100
Pm Edt.

$$
Forecaster Franklin/rhome
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Old 08-20-2007, 05:15 PM   #7
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Default

000
Wtnt34 Knhc 202032
Tcpat4
Bulletin
Hurricane Dean Advisory Number 31
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al042007
500 Pm Edt Mon Aug 20 2007

...extremely Dangerous Hurricane Dean Expected To Strike The Yucatan
Tonight...could Reach Category Five Before Landfall...

At 5 Pm Edt...2100 Utc...the Government Of Mexico Has Issued A
Tropical Storm Watch From West Of Ciudad Del Carmen To Veracruz.

At 5 Pm Edt...all Warnings In The Cayman Islands Are Discontinued.

A Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect For The Following Provinces
Of Cuba...pinar Del Rio...la Habana...and Isla De La Juventud. At 5
Pm Edt...all Other Watches And Warnings In Cuba Are Discontinued.

A Hurricane Warning Remains In Effect For The Entire Coastline Of
Belize...along The East Coast Of The Yucatan Peninsula From The
Belize/mexico Border Northward To Cancun...and Along The West Coast
Of The Yucatan Peninsula From South Of Progresso Southward To
Ciudad Del Carmen. Preparations To Protect Life And Property
Should Be Rushed To Completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect On The Yucatan Peninsula
From North Of Cancun To Progresso.

Interests Elsewhere In The Southern Gulf Of Mexico Should Closely
Monitor The Progress Of Dean.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.

At 500 Pm Edt...2100z...the Center Of Hurricane Dean Was Located
Near Latitude 18.2 North...longitude 84.2 West Or About 270 Miles...
435 Km...east Of Chetumal Mexico.

Dean Is Moving Toward The West Near 20 Mph...32 Km/hr...and And A
Westward Or West-northwestward Motion Is Expected Over The Next 24
Hours. On This Track The Center Of The Hurricane Is Expected To
Make Landfall On The Yucatan Peninsula Very Early Tuesday Morning.
However...conditions Will Begin To Deteriorate Along The Coastline
This Evening.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 150 Mph...240 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Dean Is An Extremely Dangerous Category Four Hurricane On
The Saffir-simpson Scale. Some Strengthening Is Expected Later
Today...and Dean Is Likely To Become A Category Five Hurricane
Prior To Making Landfall.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 60 Miles...95 Km...from
The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 175
Miles...280 Km.

The Minimum Central Pressure Reported By An Air Force Reserve Unit
Reconnaissance Aircraft Was 918 Mb...27.11 Inches.

Dean Is Expected To Produce Storm Total Rainfall Of 5 To 10 Inches
Over The Yucatan Peninsula...belize...guatemala...and Northern
Honduras...with Maximum Amounts Of Up To 20 Inches. These
Rains Could Cause Life-threatening Flash Floods And Mud Slides.

Coastal Storm Surge Flooding Of 5 To 7 Feet Above Normal Tide
Levels...along With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves...is
Possible In The Cayman Islands. Storm Surge Flooding Of 12 To 18
Feet Above Normal Tide Levels Is Possible Near And To The North Of
Where Dean Makes Landfall Along The East Coast Of The Yucatan
Peninsula.

Repeating The 500 Pm Edt Position...18.2 N...84.2 W. Movement
Toward...west Near 20 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...150 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...918 Mb.

An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 800 Pm Edt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 1100
Pm Edt.

$$
Forecaster Franklin/rhome
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Old 08-21-2007, 07:20 AM   #8
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Default

000
Wtnt34 Knhc 211145
Tcpat4
Bulletin
Hurricane Dean Intermediate Advisory Number 33a
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al042007
700 Am Cdt Tue Aug 21 2007

...dean Moving Over The Yucatan Peninsula Of Mexico...

A Hurricane Warning Is In Effect For The Entire Coastline Of Belize
And Along The East Coast Of The Yucatan Peninsula Of Mexico
From The Belize/mexico Border Northward To Cancun. A Hurricane
Warning Is Also In Effect Along The West Coast Of The Yucatan
Peninsula And The Gulf Coast Of Mexico From South Of Progreso
Southward And Westward To Veracruz. Preparations In The Hurricane
Warning Area Along The Gulf Coast Of Mexico Should Be Rushed To
Completion.

A Hurricane Watch Is In Effect For The Gulf Coast Of Mexico From
North Of Veracruz To Tampico. A Hurricane Watch Means That
Hurricane Conditions Are Possible Within The Watch Area...generally
Within 36 Hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning Is Also In Effect Along The Northern Coast
Of The Yucatan Peninsula From North Of Cancun To Progresso.

A Tropical Storm Watch Also Remains In Effect For The Following
Provinces Of Cuba...pinar Del Rio...la Habana...and Isla De La
Juventud. This Watch Will Likely Be Discontinued Later This
Morning.

Interests Elsewhere In The Southern Gulf Of Mexico Should Closely
Monitor The Progress Of Dean.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.

At 700 Am Cdt...1200z...the Center Of Hurricane Dean Was Located
Inland Over The Yucatan Peninsula Near Latitude 18.9
North...longitude 88.7 West Or About 40 Miles...60 Km...northwest
Of Chetumal Mexico And About 135 Miles...220 Km...east-southeast Of
Campeche Mexico.

Dean Is Moving Toward The West-northwest Near 20 Mph...32 Km/hr...
And A West-northwestward To Westward Motion Is Expected Today And
Tonight. On The Forecast Track...the Center Will Reach The Southern
Bay Of Campeche Late This Afternoon.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 125 Mph...205 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Dean Is Now A Category Three Hurricane On The Saffir-simpson
Scale. Although Continued Weakening Is Forecast As Dean Crosses The
Yucatan Peninsula...dean Is Expected To Still Be A Hurricane When
It Reaches The Bay Of Campeche.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 60 Miles...95 Km...from
The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 175
Miles...280 Km.

The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 935 Mb...27.61 Inches.

Storm Surge Flooding And Waves Will Gradually Diminish Along The
East Coast Of The Yucatan Peninsula Today. Within The Hurricane
Warning Area In The Bay Of Campeche...storm Surge Flooding Of 6 To
8 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels Is Possible...along With Large And
Dangerous Battering Waves.

Dean Is Expected To Produce Storm Total Rainfall Of 5 To 10 Inches
Over The Isthmus Of Tehuantepec And Yucatan Peninsula Of Mexico...
Belize...guatemala...and Northern Honduras...with Maximum Amounts
Of Up To 20 Inches. These Rains Could Cause Life-threatening Flash
Floods And Mud Slides.

Repeating The 700 Am Cdt Position...18.9 N...88.7 W. Movement
Toward...west-northwest Near 20 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...125
Mph. Minimum Central Pressure...935 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane Center At
1000 Am Cdt.

$$
Forecaster Franklin/rhome
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Old 08-21-2007, 09:53 AM   #9
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000
Wtnt34 Knhc 211443
Tcpat4
Bulletin
Hurricane Dean Advisory Number 34
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al042007
1000 Am Cdt Tue Aug 21 2007

...dean Weakening As It Moves Across The Yucatan Peninsula...

At 10 Am Cdt...the Government Of Belize Has Downgraded The Hurricane
Warning For Belize To A Tropical Storm Warning.

At 10 Am Cdt...1500 Utc...the Government Of Mexico Has Extended The
Hurricane Warning Northward From Veracruz To Tampico. A Hurricane
Warning Is Now In Effect Along The East Coast Of The Yucatan
Peninsula Of Mexico From The Belize/mexico Border Northward To
Cancun. A Hurricane Warning Is Also In Effect Along The West Coast
Of The Yucatan Peninsula And The Gulf Coast Of Mexico From South Of
Progreso Westward To Tampico. Preparations In The Hurricane Warning
Area Along The Gulf Coast Of Mexico Should Be Rushed To Completion.

At 10 Am Cdt...1500 Utc...the Government Of Mexico Has Issued A
Tropical Storm Warning From North Of Tampico To La Pesca. A
Tropical Storm Warning Is Now In Effect Along The Northern Coast
Of The Yucatan Peninsula From North Of Cancun To Progresso...and
From North Of Tampico To La Pesca.

At 10 Am Cdt...the Government Of Cuba Has Discontinued All Remaining
Watches For Cuba.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued
By Your Local Weather Office.

At 1000 Am Cdt...1500z...the Center Of Hurricane Dean Was Located
Near Latitude 19.0 North...longitude 89.6 West Or About 90 Miles...
150 Km...west-northwest Of Chetumal Mexico And About 85 Miles...140
Km...southeast Of Campeche Mexico.

Dean Is Moving Toward The West Near 20 Mph...32 Km/hr...and A
West-northwestward To Westward Motion Is Expected Today And
Tonight. On The Forecast Track...the Center Of Dean Will Reach The
Southern Bay Of Campeche In A Few Hours.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 105 Mph...165 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Dean Is A Category Two Hurricane On The Saffir-simpson
Scale. Although Continued Weakening Is Forecast As Dean Crosses The
Yucatan Peninsula...dean Is Expected To Still Be A Hurricane When
It Reaches The Bay Of Campeche.

Hurricane Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 45 Miles...75 Km...from
The Center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 240
Miles...390 Km.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 950 Mb...28.05 Inches.

Storm Surge Flooding And Waves Will Gradually Diminish Along The
East Coast Of The Yucatan Peninsula Today. Within The Hurricane
Warning Area In The Gulf Of Mexico...storm Surge Flooding Of 6 To
8 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels Is Possible...along With Large And
Dangerous Battering Waves.

Dean Is Expected To Produce Storm Total Rainfall Of 5 To 10 Inches
Over Parts Of Southern And Central Mexico...including The Yucatan
Peninsula...belize...guatemala...and Northern Honduras...with
Maximum Amount Of Up To 20 Inches. These Rains Could Cause
Life-threatening Flash Floods And Mudslides.

Repeating The 1000 Am Cdt Position...19.0 N...89.6 W. Movement
Toward...west Near 20 Mph. Maximum Sustained Winds...105 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...950 Mb.

An Intermediate Advisory Will Be Issued By The National Hurricane
Center At 100 Pm Cdt Followed By The Next Complete Advisory At 400
Pm Cdt.

$$
Forecaster Franklin/rhome
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Old 08-21-2007, 02:05 PM   #10
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000
WTNT34 KNHC 211742
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
100 PM CDT TUE AUG 21 2007

...DEAN ABOUT TO EMERGE INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...

AT 2 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
FROM THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO CANCUN...AND HAS ALSO
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM CANCUN TO PROGRESO.

AT 2PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BELIZE.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM SOUTH OF PROGRESO WESTWARD TO TAMPICO. PREPARATIONS IN THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO
LA PESCA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.4 WEST OR ABOUT 45
MILES...75 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAMPECHE MEXICO.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND A
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY AND
TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF DEAN WILL REACH THE
SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE IN A COUPLE OF HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AFTER DEAN ENTERS THE BAY
OF CAMPECHE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES...240 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TODAY. WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO
8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH LARGE AND
DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.

DEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MEXICO...INCLUDING THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND NORTHERN HONDURAS...WITH
MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF UP TO 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION...19.2 N...90.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/RHOME
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